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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+3
+97Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
35Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +1
260Total teleop261
AirshipRed +100
150Total endgame50
Penalties & totalRed +97
0Foul points0
445Total score348
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 13.5
Second
blue by 9.2
