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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+4
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +4
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +4
264Total teleop260
Airshiplevel
100Total endgame100
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points25
404Total score429
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 17.5
Second
red by 21.2
