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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+1
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
34Total auto35
TeleoperatedRed +41
161Total teleop120
Airshiplevel
100Total endgame100
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points25
295Total score280
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 6.8
Second
red by 13.6
