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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+28Auto
+69Teleop
+169Endgame
+144Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
43Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +41
123Total teleop82
AirshipRed +100
150Total endgame50
Penalties & totalRed +144
0Foul points25
316Total score172
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 13.0
Second
red by 27.1
