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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+4Auto
+44Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
39Total auto35
TeleoperatedRed +40
120Total teleop80
AirshipRed +50
100Total endgame50
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
259Total score165
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 25.3
Second
red by 20.6
