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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+28Auto
+176Teleop
+176Endgame
+206Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
43Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +148
268Total teleop120
Airshiplevel
100Total endgame100
Penalties & totalRed +206
30Foul points0
441Total score235
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 17.9
Second
red by 5.5
