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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+46Auto
+89Teleop
+89Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +46
81Total auto35
TeleoperatedRed +43
303Total teleop260
Airshiplevel
150Total endgame150
Penalties & totalRed +89
0Foul points0
534Total score445
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 36.2
Second
red by 30.7
