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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+45Auto
+231Teleop
+231Endgame
+231Fouls
AutonomousRed +45
83Total auto38
TeleoperatedRed +186
306Total teleop120
Airshiplevel
100Total endgame100
Penalties & totalRed +231
0Foul points0
489Total score258
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 53.3
Second
red by 28.1
