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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
+53Auto
+224Teleop
+224Endgame
+199Fouls
AutonomousRed +53
68Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +171
291Total teleop120
Airshiplevel
150Total endgame150
Penalties & totalRed +199
0Foul points25
509Total score310
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 68.5
Second
red by 29.7
