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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+155
Endgame+155
Fouls+155
AutonomousBlue +15
22Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +140
120Total teleop260
Airshiplevel
150Total endgame150
Penalties & totalBlue +155
0Foul points0
292Total score447
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
blue by 29.6
Second
blue by 8.9
