Qualification 48 · 2016 Michigan State Championship

Qual 482016 Michigan State Championship

Red105

6632.4

592628.8

205444.7

Blue120

260425.8

516632.1

277156.6

52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownFIRST Stronghold

Margin

Auto+10

Teleop+30

Endgame+20

Fouls+15

AutonomousBlue +10

30Total auto40

TeleoperatedBlue +20

45Total teleop65

TowerRed +10

25Total endgame15

Ranking points

Breach

Capture

Penalties & totalBlue +15

5Foul points0

105Total score120

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail

Ace

2054

#49

44.70.2

41.2→41.4

Auto13.5

Teleop26.2

End4.9

blue by 11.9

2771

#11

56.61.6

50.1→51.7

Auto15.2

Teleop36.3

End5.1

Second

#89

32.40.2

27.4→27.6

Auto7.8

Teleop18.2

End6.3

red by 0.3

5166

#65

32.11.6

26.7→28.3

Auto9.5

Teleop13.9

End8.7

Third

5926

#99

28.80.2

28.3→28.5

Auto6.7

Teleop13.3

End8.8

red by 3.0

2604

#73

25.81.6

19.3→20.9

Auto8.3

Teleop12.8

End4.7

Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds

Breach

85%Missed75%Earned

Capture

4%Missed33%Earned