Qualification 170 · 2016 Michigan State Championship

Qual 1702016 Michigan State Championship

Red100

515539.8

353832.4

522227.0

Blue115

323437.6

515040.1

439143.8

17%Model gave it83%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownFIRST Stronghold

Margin

Auto+10

0Teleop0

Endgame+15

Fouls+15

AutonomousBlue +10

30Total auto40

TeleoperatedRed +10

60Total teleop50

TowerBlue +15

10Total endgame25

Ranking points

Breach

Capture

Penalties & totalBlue +15

0Foul points0

100Total score115

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail

Ace

5155

#86

39.80.5

37.5→38.0

Auto9.8

Teleop24.4

End5.6

blue by 4.0

4391

#21

43.80.2

39.3→39.4

Auto15.6

Teleop22.1

End6.1

Second

3538

#92

32.40.5

29.9→30.4

Auto8.1

Teleop20.4

End4.0

blue by 7.7

5150

40.10.2

37.6→37.7

Auto10.9

Teleop22.8

End6.5

Third

5222

#94

27.00.5

24.7→25.3

Auto9.2

Teleop13.6

End4.3

blue by 10.6

3234

#47

37.60.2

35.5→35.7

Auto10.3

Teleop18.2

End9.1

Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds

Breach

95%Earned99%Earned

Capture

18%Missed43%Earned