Qualification 159 · 2016 Michigan State Championship

Qual 1592016 Michigan State Championship

Red105

353937.8

283444.0

421636.8

Blue135

335742.2

49447.4

205444.7

32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownFIRST Stronghold

Margin

0Auto0

Teleop+5

Endgame+25

Fouls+30

Autonomouslevel

30Total auto30

TeleoperatedBlue +5

70Total teleop75

TowerBlue +20

5Total endgame25

Ranking points

Breach

Capture

Penalties & totalBlue +30

0Foul points5

105Total score135

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail

Ace

2834

#30

44.01.2

46.4→45.1

Auto12.8

Teleop27.5

End3.6

blue by 3.5

494

#14

47.40.4

45.1→44.7

Auto14.5

Teleop26.6

End6.4

Second

3539

#69

37.81.2

40.1→38.9

Auto7.7

Teleop26.2

End3.9

blue by 6.9

2054

#49

44.70.4

47.1→46.7

Auto13.5

Teleop26.2

End4.9

Third

4216

#63

36.81.2

37.1→35.9

Auto10.6

Teleop20.4

End5.7

blue by 5.4

3357

#43

42.20.4

44.3→43.8

Auto10.8

Teleop25.7

End5.7

Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds

Breach

97%Earned94%Earned

Capture

56%Missed63%Earned