Qualification 150 · 2016 Michigan State Championship

Qual 1502016 Michigan State Championship

Red105

323437.6

10743.9

365638.2

Blue108

400343.9

505331.7

49447.4

54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownFIRST Stronghold

Margin

+18Auto

+17Teleop

+7Endgame

Fouls+3

AutonomousRed +18

40Total auto22

TeleoperatedBlue +1

60Total teleop61

TowerBlue +10

5Total endgame15

Ranking points

Breach

Capture

Penalties & totalBlue +3

0Foul points10

105Total score108

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail

Ace

107

#45

43.91.0

47.8→46.8

Auto11.4

Teleop27.9

End4.6

blue by 3.5

494

#14

47.41.4

46.5→45.1

Auto14.5

Teleop26.6

End6.4

Second

3656

#87

38.21.0

36.0→35.0

Auto12.7

Teleop21.7

End3.8

blue by 5.8

4003

43.91.4

39.3→37.8

Auto11.8

Teleop25.6

End6.5

Third

3234

#47

37.61.0

36.6→35.5

Auto10.3

Teleop18.2

End9.1

red by 5.9

5053

#19

31.71.4

33.7→32.3

Auto8.4

Teleop18.5

End4.9

Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds

Breach

98%Earned94%Earned

Capture

7%Missed50%Missed