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Qual 1382016 Michigan State Championship
Red120
609731.6
309840.4
345240.6
Blue127
354641.8
571236.4
168438.4
32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10512550150200120127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownFIRST Stronghold
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+17
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +10
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +7
65Total teleop72
TowerRed +10
20Total endgame10
Ranking points
Breach
Capture
Penalties & totalBlue +7
5Foul points5
120Total score127
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#36
40.60.7
39.8→40.5
Auto7.8
Teleop27.0
End5.8
blue by 1.3
3546
#37
41.80.2
42.8→43.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7
Second
3098
#39
40.40.7
35.6→36.2
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End9.2
red by 2.0
1684
#46
38.40.2
40.9→41.1
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End6.8
Third
6097
#85
31.60.7
29.8→30.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End5.1
blue by 4.8
5712
#48
36.40.2
35.0→35.2
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
21%Capture oddsMissed87%Capture oddsMissed