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Qual 1322016 Michigan State Championship
Red122
509027.7
608638.3
550547.6
Blue149
496750.3
8545.7
353442.5
11%Model gave it89%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10814550100200122149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownFIRST Stronghold
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+37
Endgame+37
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +8
14Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +29
73Total teleop102
Towerlevel
25Total endgame25
Ranking points
Breach
Capture
Penalties & totalBlue +27
10Foul points0
122Total score149
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#23
47.60.1
44.5→44.6
Auto10.1
Teleop26.9
End10.6
blue by 2.7
4967
#6
50.30.9
48.4→49.3
Auto8.7
Teleop35.7
End5.9
Second
6086
#31
38.30.1
40.0→40.2
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End3.8
blue by 7.3
85
#58
45.70.9
46.8→47.7
Auto9.6
Teleop32.2
End3.8
Third
5090
#100
27.70.1
25.8→26.0
Auto5.4
Teleop18.4
End3.9
blue by 14.8
3534
#20
42.50.9
40.4→41.3
Auto6.7
Teleop22.3
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned81%Capture oddsEarned