Qualification 122 · 2016 Michigan State Championship

Qual 1222016 Michigan State Championship

Red127

520335.4

170142.5

354641.8

Blue135

353937.8

523037.3

468033.4

72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownFIRST Stronghold

Margin

+15Auto

Teleop+8

Endgame+3

Fouls+8

AutonomousRed +15

35Total auto20

TeleoperatedBlue +23

62Total teleop85

TowerRed +5

15Total endgame10

Ranking points

Breach

Capture

Penalties & totalBlue +8

15Foul points20

127Total score135

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail

Ace

1701

#33

42.50.5

41.6→41.1

Auto9.6

Teleop25.1

End7.8

red by 4.7

3539

#69

37.80.3

40.5→40.7

Auto7.7

Teleop26.2

End3.9

Second

3546

#37

41.80.5

43.3→42.8

Auto14.4

Teleop21.7

End5.7

red by 4.5

5230

#90

37.30.3

36.9→37.2

Auto9.4

Teleop23.9

End3.9

Third

5203

#88

35.40.5

34.4→33.9

Auto9.1

Teleop21.7

End4.5

red by 2.0

4680

#93

33.40.3

33.5→33.8

Auto6.9

Teleop21.3

End5.2

Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds

Breach

99%Earned97%Earned

Capture

89%Missed6%Missed