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Qual 1082016 Michigan State Championship
Red119
438132.2
335742.2
505331.7
Blue117
544841.1
247442.2
619331.5
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116104406080140160180119117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownFIRST Stronghold
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
32Total auto40
Teleoperatedlevel
62Total teleop62
Towerlevel
15Total endgame15
Ranking points
Breach
Capture
Penalties & totalRed +2
10Foul points0
119Total score117
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#43
42.20.2
48.3→48.2
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End5.7
Level
2474
#12
42.20.9
37.2→38.1
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
Second
4381
#98
32.20.2
29.8→29.7
Auto9.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
blue by 9.0
5448
#44
41.10.9
36.1→37.0
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6
Third
5053
#19
31.70.2
33.1→33.0
Auto8.4
Teleop18.5
End4.9
red by 0.2
6193
#34
31.50.9
29.6→30.6
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
41%Capture oddsEarned26%Capture oddsEarned