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Final 12016 Michigan State Championship
Red175
546050.1
515040.1
213741.5
Blue180
6754.5
2753.4
171843.3
23%Model gave it77%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172205100150250300175180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownFIRST Stronghold
Margin
Auto+20
+15Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +20
30Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +35
130Total teleop95
TowerBlue +15
15Total endgame30
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points5
175Total score180
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#26
50.10.0
50.0→50.0
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
blue by 4.4
67
#13
54.50.0
56.4→56.4
Auto12.4
Teleop29.7
End12.4
Second
2137
#77
41.50.0
41.4→41.4
Auto16.4
Teleop20.1
End5.0
blue by 11.9
27
#2
53.40.0
55.4→55.4
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
Third
5150
#4
40.10.0
40.1→40.0
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End6.5
blue by 3.1
1718
#72
43.30.0
43.3→43.3
Auto11.2
Teleop27.8
End4.2