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Qual 312016 Peachtree District State Championship
Red101
360031.8
174646.3
470121.6
Blue93
563233.1
474929.9
584021.7
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9479406012014016018010193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownFIRST Stronghold
Margin
+5Auto
+13Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
27Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +8
59Total teleop51
TowerBlue +5
10Total endgame15
Ranking points
Breach
Capture
Penalties & totalRed +8
5Foul points5
101Total score93
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#2
46.30.5
40.0→40.4
Auto12.2
Teleop25.8
End8.3
red by 13.2
5632
#19
33.10.6
32.2→32.7
Auto10.3
Teleop17.5
End5.3
Second
3600
#32
31.80.5
30.5→31.0
Auto8.7
Teleop20.2
End2.8
red by 1.9
4749
#31
29.90.6
26.8→27.3
Auto9.6
Teleop15.5
End4.8
Third
4701
#40
21.60.5
18.7→19.2
Auto6.3
Teleop13.1
End2.1
blue by 0.1
5840
#33
21.70.6
20.4→21.0
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed