# FIRST Chance (2025orwv)

Wilsonville, OR, USA · 2025-10-05 to 2025-10-05 · week 33 · 24 teams · completed · offseason

## Alliances

| Alliance | Teams | Result | Playoff record |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Alliance 1 | 5468, 2471, 2374 | Eliminated in R3 | 1-2-0 |
| Alliance 2 | 1425, 7034, 753, 4043 | Finalist | 3-3-0 |
| Alliance 3 | 957, 9998, 3636 | Champion | 4-1-0 |
| Alliance 4 | 6443, 1540, 955 | Eliminated in R2 | 0-2-0 |

## Qualification ranking

| Rank | Team | Name | Qual record | RP | xP | Pre-playoff xP | SOS |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | 5468 | Chaos Theory | 7-1-0 | 37 | 62.8 | 62.9 | 0.36 |
| 2 | 2471 | Team Mean Machine | 6-2-0 | 30 | 50.5 | 51.4 | 0.70 |
| 3 | 1425 | Error Code Xero | 6-2-0 | 29 | 53.5 | 50.9 | 0.62 |
| 4 | 957 | SWARM - South and West Albany Robotics Maniacs | 5-3-0 | 27 | 51.9 | 45.0 | 0.28 |
| 5 | 7034 | 2B Determined | 5-3-0 | 26 | 50.3 | 47.7 | 0.13 |
| 6 | 6443 | AEMBOT | 4-4-0 | 25 | 29.4 | 28.9 | 0.41 |
| 7 | 2374 | Jesuit Robotics | 5-3-0 | 24 | 30.9 | 31.4 | 0.48 |
| 8 | 9998 | Off-Season Demo Team 9998 | 5-3-0 | 24 | 21.1 | 17.0 | 0.21 |
| 9 | 4043 | NerdHerd | 5-3-0 | 24 | 30.1 | 31.4 | 0.00 |
| 10 | 753 | High Desert Droids | 4-4-0 | 23 | 25.3 | 22.0 | 0.11 |
| 11 | 1540 | Flaming Chickens | 4-4-0 | 23 | 39.6 | 38.5 | 0.94 |
| 12 | 3636 | Generals | 5-3-0 | 22 | 50.4 | 44.1 | 0.29 |
| 13 | 955 | Ctrl C | 5-3-0 | 22 | 42.6 | 42.1 | 0.60 |
| 14 | 2990 | Hotwire | 4-4-0 | 20 | 33.8 | 33.8 | 0.80 |
| 15 | 2521 | SERT | 4-4-0 | 20 | 34.9 | 34.9 | 0.76 |
| 16 | 2550 | Skynet | 4-4-0 | 20 | 16.8 | 16.8 | 0.27 |
| 17 | 2635 | Lake Monsters | 3-5-0 | 17 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 0.33 |
| 18 | 9997 | Off-Season Demo Team 9997 | 3-5-0 | 16 | 16.4 | 16.4 | 0.08 |
| 19 | 6696 | Cardinal Dynamics | 3-5-0 | 16 | 32.8 | 32.8 | 0.92 |
| 20 | 997 | Spartan Robotics | 2-6-0 | 15 | 30.6 | 30.6 | 0.50 |
| 21 | 749 | Ctrl V | 2-6-0 | 14 | 15.4 | 15.4 | 0.78 |
| 22 | 1359 | Scalawags | 2-6-0 | 13 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 0.86 |
| 23 | 2733 | Pigmice | 1-7-0 | 11 | 18.7 | 18.7 | 0.90 |
| 24 | 9999 | Off-Season Demo Team 9999 | 2-6-0 | 9 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 0.60 |

## Qualification matches

| Match | Red | Blue | Score | Predicted | Red win prob | Winner |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Qual 1 | 2374, 3636, 2990 | 997, 2550, 5468 | 145–136 | 71–100 | 22% | red |
| Qual 2 | 9997, 2733, 1359 | 1540, 4043, 1425 | 45–66 | 14–123 | 0% | blue |
| Qual 3 | 6696, 9999, 6443 | 957, 7034, 2635 | 82–129 | 64–114 | 7% | blue |
| Qual 4 | 749, 9998, 2521 | 753, 2471, 955 | 44–106 | 61–99 | 12% | blue |
| Qual 5 | 3636, 997, 1359 | 9997, 2374, 1540 | 77–78 | 102–76 | 71% | blue |
| Qual 6 | 2550, 9999, 1425 | 4043, 2635, 6696 | 55–34 | 67–80 | 29% | red |
| Qual 7 | 2990, 955, 2733 | 2471, 9998, 7034 | 62–100 | 94–95 | 50% | blue |
| Qual 8 | 957, 749, 753 | 6443, 2521, 5468 | 63–117 | 95–121 | 23% | blue |
| Qual 9 | 6696, 2635, 2550 | 4043, 997, 9997 | 76–70 | 48–46 | 57% | red |
| Qual 10 | 9999, 3636, 955 | 9998, 1425, 1359 | 68–88 | 82–40 | 85% | blue |
| Qual 11 | 6443, 2733, 957 | 5468, 749, 2990 | 82–96 | 81–98 | 31% | blue |
| Qual 12 | 7034, 1540, 753 | 2521, 2471, 2374 | 100–115 | 93–80 | 56% | blue |
| Qual 13 | 2635, 9998, 9999 | 2550, 9997, 3636 | 66–72 | 13–64 | 6% | blue |
| Qual 14 | 1359, 6443, 2990 | 955, 749, 4043 | 61–87 | 40–52 | 30% | blue |
| Qual 15 | 2471, 957, 1540 | 1425, 997, 2521 | 151–117 | 110–93 | 67% | red |
| Qual 16 | 5468, 753, 2733 | 2374, 7034, 6696 | 132–99 | 90–108 | 26% | red |
| Qual 17 | 749, 2635, 6443 | 3636, 4043, 9998 | 53–105 | 59–76 | 34% | blue |
| Qual 18 | 2550, 1540, 2521 | 2990, 1425, 957 | 72–122 | 84–111 | 23% | blue |
| Qual 19 | 1359, 6696, 753 | 5468, 9997, 2471 | 75–138 | 54–123 | 3% | blue |
| Qual 20 | 2374, 2733, 9999 | 7034, 955, 997 | 69–107 | 46–107 | 3% | blue |
| Qual 21 | 1540, 6443, 9998 | 957, 2550, 4043 | 111–102 | 79–87 | 31% | red |
| Qual 22 | 2471, 1359, 749 | 1425, 5468, 2635 | 77–114 | 73–142 | 3% | blue |
| Qual 23 | 997, 753, 2374 | 9997, 2990, 9999 | 91–67 | 74–44 | 84% | red |
| Qual 24 | 6696, 2521, 955 | 2733, 7034, 3636 | 103–100 | 105–121 | 35% | red |
| Qual 25 | 9998, 5468, 957 | 2635, 1359, 1540 | 92–43 | 133–76 | 92% | red |
| Qual 26 | 9999, 4043, 2471 | 749, 2374, 2550 | 88–56 | 85–57 | 75% | red |
| Qual 27 | 2733, 6696, 997 | 753, 6443, 3636 | 66–77 | 85–98 | 31% | blue |
| Qual 28 | 2990, 2521, 7034 | 955, 9997, 1425 | 129–119 | 91–98 | 46% | red |
| Qual 29 | 4043, 2374, 5468 | 9999, 1540, 749 | 134–53 | 113–64 | 92% | red |
| Qual 30 | 3636, 957, 6696 | 2635, 2471, 2733 | 105–91 | 118–78 | 87% | red |
| Qual 31 | 2521, 753, 9997 | 955, 1359, 2550 | 68–88 | 62–60 | 48% | blue |
| Qual 32 | 9998, 2990, 997 | 7034, 1425, 6443 | 95–124 | 72–119 | 6% | blue |

## Playoff matches

| Match | Red | Blue | Score | Predicted | Red win prob | Winner |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SF 1 | 5468, 2374, 2471 | 6443, 1540, 955 | 139–119 | 152–116 | 85% | red |
| SF 2-1 | 7034, 753, 1425 | 957, 3636, 9998 | 158–161 | 126–115 | 68% | blue |
| SF 3-1 | 5468, 2374, 2471 | 957, 3636, 9998 | 146–170 | 150–126 | 82% | blue |
| SF 4-1 | 6443, 1540, 955 | 7034, 753, 1425 | 115–171 | 115–134 | 33% | blue |
| SF 5-1 | 5468, 2374, 2471 | 7034, 753, 1425 | 138–140 | 152–140 | 67% | blue |
| F 1 | 957, 3636, 9998 | 7034, 753, 1425 | 155–147 | 129–137 | 42% | red |
| F 2 | 957, 3636, 9998 | 7034, 1425, 4043 | 113–138 | 136–142 | 41% | blue |
| F 3 | 957, 3636, 9998 | 7034, 1425, 4043 | 166–98 | 133–141 | 39% | red |

Predicted scores and win probabilities are this site's own. The same page for a person: [https://www.match13.com/event/2025orwv](https://www.match13.com/event/2025orwv).

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