# Aerospace Valley Regional (2024caav)

Lancaster, CA, USA · 2024-04-03 to 2024-04-06 · week 6 · 40 teams · completed

## Watch

- twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/firstinspires1

## Alliances

| Alliance | Teams | Result | Playoff record |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Alliance 1 | 1148, 1538, 599, 6479 | Finalist | 5-3-1 |
| Alliance 2 | 294, 2659, 4322 | Champion | 5-1-1 |
| Alliance 3 | 5458, 1515, 968 | Eliminated in R2 | 0-2-0 |
| Alliance 4 | 2429, 2073, 2543 | Eliminated in R2 | 0-2-0 |
| Alliance 5 | 2584, 4419, 5137 | Eliminated in R5 | 2-2-0 |
| Alliance 6 | 6657, 399, 7444, 691 | Eliminated in R4 | 2-2-0 |
| Alliance 7 | 7673, 2658, 1836, 7682 | Eliminated in R3 | 1-2-0 |
| Alliance 8 | 6072, 4123, 8768 | Eliminated in R3 | 1-2-0 |

## Qualification ranking

| Rank | Team | Name | Qual record | RP | xP | Pre-playoff xP | SOS |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | 1148 | Harvard Westlake Robotics | 9-2-0 | 34 | 38.8 | 33.8 | 0.20 |
| 2 | 294 | Beach Cities Robotics | 9-2-0 | 33 | 38.7 | 35.6 | 0.01 |
| 3 | 2659 | RoboWarriors | 9-2-0 | 32 | 33.0 | 29.7 | 0.54 |
| 4 | 1538 | The Holy Cows | 9-2-0 | 31 | 34.3 | 30.5 | 0.05 |
| 5 | 5458 | Digital Minds | 10-1-0 | 30 | 28.7 | 27.8 | 0.01 |
| 6 | 2429 | The Blockheads | 9-2-0 | 29 | 29.4 | 29.0 | 0.75 |
| 7 | 2584 | Flame of The West | 7-4-0 | 26 | 24.9 | 25.1 | 0.07 |
| 8 | 4419 | Team Rewind | 7-4-0 | 26 | 25.0 | 25.4 | 0.54 |
| 9 | 6657 | Arborbotics | 8-3-0 | 26 | 22.6 | 22.3 | 0.21 |
| 10 | 2073 | EagleForce | 6-4-1 | 25 | 30.4 | 30.0 | 0.84 |
| 11 | 7673 | Formosan Sika | 7-4-0 | 24 | 16.9 | 17.1 | 0.62 |
| 12 | 399 | Eagle Robotics | 6-5-0 | 23 | 29.7 | 29.3 | 0.59 |
| 13 | 6072 | Triton Tech 6072 | 6-4-1 | 23 | 17.9 | 16.2 | 0.26 |
| 14 | 5137 | Iron Kodiaks | 6-4-1 | 22 | 21.2 | 21.4 | 0.15 |
| 15 | 4123 | Tribe Robotics | 6-5-0 | 22 | 18.8 | 17.1 | 0.09 |
| 16 | 7444 | MOON STAR ROBOTICS | 6-5-0 | 21 | 25.3 | 24.8 | 0.09 |
| 17 | 968 | RAWC (Robotics Alliance Of West Covina) | 5-6-0 | 21 | 15.6 | 15.1 | 0.43 |
| 18 | 1515 | MorTorq | 6-5-0 | 21 | 24.8 | 24.1 | 0.83 |
| 19 | 1836 | The MilkenKnights | 6-5-0 | 20 | 14.9 | 14.1 | 0.56 |
| 20 | 2658 | Σ-Motion | 5-6-0 | 20 | 26.6 | 25.5 | 0.81 |
| 21 | 7682 | FUSION ROBOTICS | 6-5-0 | 18 | 14.5 | 13.8 | 0.80 |
| 22 | 2543 | TitanBot | 4-7-0 | 18 | 19.8 | 19.6 | 0.62 |
| 23 | 4322 | Clockwork | 5-6-0 | 18 | 19.5 | 17.3 | 0.11 |
| 24 | 691 | Project 691 Robotics | 5-6-0 | 17 | 10.1 | 10.3 | 0.14 |
| 25 | 6479 | AZTECH Robotics | 5-6-0 | 17 | 13.1 | 11.4 | 0.28 |
| 26 | 8768 | CTEC Titans | 4-7-0 | 16 | 22.6 | 20.7 | 0.63 |
| 27 | 6060 | Circuit Serpents | 5-6-0 | 16 | 17.6 | 17.6 | 0.75 |
| 28 | 5012 | Gryffingear | 3-8-0 | 15 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 0.54 |
| 29 | 9666 | AAE Knights | 5-5-1 | 15 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 0.68 |
| 30 | 8569 | Zenith Polaris | 3-7-1 | 15 | 13.6 | 13.6 | 0.80 |
| 31 | 7607 | The Blackbirds | 4-7-0 | 13 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 0.96 |
| 32 | 599 | The Robodox | 4-7-0 | 13 | 17.0 | 16.9 | 0.71 |
| 33 | 3993 | Humanoids | 4-7-0 | 13 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 0.77 |
| 34 | 2404 | Team NEY Techs (TNT) | 3-7-1 | 12 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 0.61 |
| 35 | 5857 | Walnut Valley Robotics | 3-8-0 | 12 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.24 |
| 36 | 6305 | Stable Circuits | 2-9-0 | 11 | 15.1 | 15.1 | 0.66 |
| 37 | 4014 | Pixelators | 3-8-0 | 11 | 10.6 | 10.6 | 0.92 |
| 38 | 9471 | EF Academy | 3-8-0 | 9 | 7.2 | 7.2 | 0.12 |
| 39 | 8006 | The Phantoms | 3-8-0 | 9 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 0.87 |
| 40 | 5869 | QHHS Aqueducks | 1-10-0 | 6 | 11.8 | 11.8 | 0.97 |

## Qualification matches

| Match | Red | Blue | Score | Predicted | Red win prob | Winner |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Qual 1 | 6072, 5137, 2543 | 4014, 6060, 3993 | 58–35 | 54–33 | 89% | red |
| Qual 2 | 2659, 6305, 294 | 2584, 599, 2404 | 79–34 | 67–46 | 87% | red |
| Qual 3 | 1515, 1836, 6657 | 7444, 2658, 5012 | 72–48 | 57–54 | 62% | red |
| Qual 4 | 2073, 9666, 2429 | 7673, 4322, 4419 | 66–54 | 52–34 | 82% | red |
| Qual 5 | 968, 4123, 1148 | 8768, 7607, 5869 | 70–43 | 40–27 | 79% | red |
| Qual 6 | 9471, 1538, 7682 | 6479, 8569, 8006 | 46–35 | 38–28 | 78% | red |
| Qual 7 | 5857, 399, 6060 | 691, 5458, 7444 | 54–68 | 42–58 | 22% | blue |
| Qual 8 | 2404, 4419, 6305 | 6657, 2658, 7673 | 33–71 | 38–60 | 16% | blue |
| Qual 9 | 3993, 968, 2659 | 599, 1148, 4014 | 68–51 | 40–46 | 41% | red |
| Qual 10 | 8006, 5137, 7607 | 4322, 6479, 2543 | 52–32 | 32–47 | 23% | red |
| Qual 11 | 8768, 691, 294 | 1538, 1515, 8569 | 59–79 | 57–54 | 52% | blue |
| Qual 12 | 5458, 5869, 9666 | 5012, 2584, 9471 | 48–44 | 48–38 | 66% | red |
| Qual 13 | 4123, 6072, 5857 | 1836, 7682, 399 | 47–49 | 40–48 | 33% | blue |
| Qual 14 | 2073, 6657, 8006 | 7444, 2429, 5137 | 52–68 | 60–65 | 43% | blue |
| Qual 15 | 4322, 3993, 1148 | 691, 6305, 2658 | 75–46 | 51–44 | 64% | red |
| Qual 16 | 2404, 4014, 7673 | 1515, 9471, 8768 | 58–48 | 23–54 | 6% | red |
| Qual 17 | 4419, 6479, 1836 | 2584, 6072, 8569 | 59–57 | 40–49 | 37% | red |
| Qual 18 | 1538, 2659, 5458 | 5869, 2543, 2429 | 80–63 | 79–53 | 92% | red |
| Qual 19 | 2073, 4123, 7682 | 599, 5012, 399 | 64–56 | 54–44 | 73% | red |
| Qual 20 | 7607, 6060, 968 | 5857, 9666, 294 | 42–46 | 33–52 | 15% | blue |
| Qual 21 | 1836, 9471, 6072 | 6305, 6657, 1148 | 20–71 | 39–73 | 5% | blue |
| Qual 22 | 3993, 1515, 7673 | 6479, 2659, 5869 | 64–45 | 50–46 | 58% | red |
| Qual 23 | 2658, 2543, 4419 | 5012, 7682, 8768 | 64–45 | 60–35 | 89% | red |
| Qual 24 | 968, 691, 4014 | 4322, 2073, 2584 | 45–85 | 25–72 | 1% | blue |
| Qual 25 | 8006, 599, 5458 | 7607, 399, 9666 | 43–38 | 42–38 | 61% | red |
| Qual 26 | 8569, 2404, 2429 | 6060, 1538, 4123 | 50–58 | 39–64 | 10% | blue |
| Qual 27 | 5857, 7444, 2659 | 294, 1148, 5137 | 45–85 | 49–74 | 9% | blue |
| Qual 28 | 2658, 4322, 5869 | 1836, 2584, 8768 | 45–49 | 47–64 | 21% | blue |
| Qual 29 | 2543, 7607, 3993 | 7682, 5458, 1515 | 40–90 | 45–64 | 13% | blue |
| Qual 30 | 2429, 399, 4014 | 599, 4419, 9471 | 82–65 | 64–38 | 89% | red |
| Qual 31 | 7673, 8006, 6060 | 294, 6657, 4123 | 49–83 | 30–78 | 1% | blue |
| Qual 32 | 9666, 8569, 5137 | 2404, 2073, 6072 | 52–52 | 39–56 | 18% | tie |
| Qual 33 | 5012, 6479, 1538 | 7444, 968, 6305 | 63–45 | 53–53 | 50% | red |
| Qual 34 | 5869, 599, 691 | 5857, 2429, 4419 | 35–70 | 32–57 | 9% | blue |
| Qual 35 | 6657, 7682, 6060 | 4322, 294, 1515 | 56–54 | 52–77 | 10% | red |
| Qual 36 | 9471, 1148, 5458 | 5137, 7673, 2073 | 54–80 | 67–70 | 42% | blue |
| Qual 37 | 8569, 2543, 6305 | 399, 968, 2658 | 45–90 | 48–65 | 18% | blue |
| Qual 38 | 7444, 8768, 1538 | 6072, 7607, 2659 | 66–68 | 75–40 | 96% | blue |
| Qual 39 | 9666, 2404, 6479 | 4014, 5857, 1836 | 32–19 | 32–36 | 43% | red |
| Qual 40 | 691, 4123, 2584 | 8006, 5012, 3993 | 65–24 | 57–29 | 93% | red |
| Qual 41 | 7682, 7673, 8569 | 2543, 1515, 968 | 64–74 | 37–63 | 8% | blue |
| Qual 42 | 6305, 5869, 6072 | 6060, 5458, 294 | 67–94 | 37–80 | 2% | blue |
| Qual 43 | 9666, 1836, 4322 | 5137, 1538, 599 | 47–71 | 35–72 | 4% | blue |
| Qual 44 | 2658, 2659, 9471 | 4123, 8006, 7444 | 65–41 | 64–49 | 75% | red |
| Qual 45 | 6479, 4014, 7607 | 6657, 4419, 691 | 21–62 | 28–61 | 5% | blue |
| Qual 46 | 2404, 5857, 5012 | 2429, 3993, 8768 | 9–59 | 26–62 | 3% | blue |
| Qual 47 | 399, 2073, 1515 | 1148, 2584, 1538 | 99–108 | 85–80 | 53% | blue |
| Qual 48 | 7673, 4123, 599 | 6072, 7444, 4322 | 40–54 | 54–55 | 49% | blue |
| Qual 49 | 4014, 6305, 8006 | 4419, 5458, 968 | 30–73 | 28–68 | 3% | blue |
| Qual 50 | 2429, 6479, 6657 | 7682, 3993, 9666 | 74–26 | 70–31 | 97% | red |
| Qual 51 | 2584, 5857, 2658 | 5869, 6060, 8569 | 53–45 | 66–44 | 88% | red |
| Qual 52 | 5012, 294, 1836 | 9471, 2073, 7607 | 111–23 | 57–52 | 63% | red |
| Qual 53 | 399, 5137, 691 | 8768, 2659, 2404 | 61–75 | 64–48 | 75% | blue |
| Qual 54 | 1148, 7444, 6479 | 2543, 9666, 599 | 73–36 | 63–41 | 87% | red |
| Qual 55 | 1515, 5869, 5857 | 8006, 4419, 6072 | 41–54 | 47–47 | 42% | blue |
| Qual 56 | 6060, 9471, 2429 | 1836, 3993, 1538 | 44–36 | 53–59 | 31% | red |
| Qual 57 | 968, 8768, 6657 | 5458, 399, 4123 | 45–55 | 62–77 | 20% | blue |
| Qual 58 | 6305, 7682, 4322 | 2659, 8569, 2073 | 33–79 | 45–72 | 8% | blue |
| Qual 59 | 294, 7673, 2584 | 4014, 5012, 2543 | 84–45 | 80–36 | 98% | red |
| Qual 60 | 5137, 2658, 2404 | 7607, 691, 1148 | 50–62 | 56–47 | 69% | blue |
| Qual 61 | 4419, 7444, 399 | 968, 1836, 5869 | 103–44 | 76–39 | 95% | red |
| Qual 62 | 4322, 8768, 599 | 6060, 6305, 1515 | 75–43 | 53–61 | 33% | red |
| Qual 63 | 1538, 294, 2073 | 3993, 5857, 6479 | 107–16 | 99–21 | 100% | red |
| Qual 64 | 2543, 2584, 2659 | 2404, 9471, 6657 | 90–37 | 78–33 | 97% | red |
| Qual 65 | 8569, 7607, 2658 | 7673, 2429, 5458 | 48–85 | 39–75 | 4% | blue |
| Qual 66 | 1148, 6072, 5012 | 691, 8006, 7682 | 47–28 | 64–27 | 96% | red |
| Qual 67 | 1515, 9666, 4014 | 4123, 5137, 6305 | 50–47 | 41–58 | 17% | red |
| Qual 68 | 1538, 6657, 4322 | 9471, 968, 5857 | 81–33 | 77–24 | 99% | red |
| Qual 69 | 599, 8569, 7444 | 5869, 2404, 3993 | 56–25 | 60–28 | 93% | red |
| Qual 70 | 8768, 8006, 2543 | 691, 1836, 7673 | 45–46 | 48–43 | 58% | blue |
| Qual 71 | 7607, 2429, 7682 | 5137, 4014, 2584 | 56–54 | 42–60 | 19% | red |
| Qual 72 | 2073, 5012, 4419 | 2659, 1148, 6060 | 57–94 | 69–76 | 37% | blue |
| Qual 73 | 6072, 294, 399 | 4123, 2658, 9666 | 85–60 | 81–44 | 95% | red |
| Qual 74 | 5458, 4322, 2404 | 1515, 691, 6479 | 57–34 | 52–46 | 61% | red |

## Playoff matches

| Match | Red | Blue | Score | Predicted | Red win prob | Winner |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SF 1 | 1538, 599, 1148 | 4123, 8768, 6072 | 89–75 | 87–56 | 90% | red |
| SF 2-1 | 2073, 2543, 2429 | 4419, 5137, 2584 | 86–92 | 84–76 | 63% | blue |
| SF 3-1 | 4322, 2659, 294 | 1836, 2658, 7673 | 115–59 | 89–61 | 87% | red |
| SF 4-1 | 1515, 968, 5458 | 399, 7444, 6657 | 89–96 | 71–83 | 34% | blue |
| SF 5-1 | 6072, 8768, 4123 | 2429, 2543, 2073 | 88–81 | 53–84 | 12% | red |
| SF 6-1 | 2658, 7682, 1836 | 5458, 968, 1515 | 76–71 | 54–74 | 21% | red |
| SF 7-1 | 1538, 599, 1148 | 5137, 4419, 2584 | 73–93 | 83–73 | 69% | blue |
| SF 8-1 | 4322, 2659, 294 | 399, 7444, 6657 | 128–74 | 94–85 | 65% | red |
| SF 9-1 | 1538, 599, 1148 | 1836, 2658, 7673 | 90–68 | 90–63 | 86% | red |
| SF 10-1 | 6657, 691, 399 | 4123, 8768, 6072 | 70–63 | 72–67 | 57% | red |
| SF 11-1 | 2584, 4419, 5137 | 294, 2659, 4322 | 55–90 | 79–96 | 25% | blue |
| SF 12-1 | 6657, 691, 399 | 1148, 599, 1538 | 51–85 | 69–90 | 17% | blue |
| SF 13-1 | 2584, 4419, 5137 | 1148, 6479, 1538 | 54–98 | 81–83 | 41% | blue |
| F 1 | 4322, 2659, 294 | 1148, 6479, 1538 | 104–104 | 93–81 | 69% | tie |
| F 2 | 4322, 2659, 294 | 1148, 6479, 1538 | 108–123 | 87–78 | 65% | blue |
| F 3 | 4322, 2659, 294 | 1148, 6479, 1538 | 123–104 | 91–87 | 59% | red |
| F 4 | 4322, 2659, 294 | 1148, 6479, 1538 | 91–82 | 94–88 | 62% | red |

Predicted scores and win probabilities are this site's own. The same page for a person: [https://www.match13.com/event/2024caav](https://www.match13.com/event/2024caav).

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