# Northern Lights Regional (2023mndu2)

Duluth, MN, USA · 2023-03-01 to 2023-03-04 · week 1 · 59 teams · completed

## Watch

- twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/firstinspires10
- twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/firstinspires9

## Alliances

| Alliance | Teams | Result | Playoff record |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Alliance 1 | 5913, 2052, 4624 | won | 5-0-0 |
| Alliance 2 | 5232, 2987, 3926 | eliminated | 3-3-0 |
| Alliance 3 | 4786, 3883, 3100 | eliminated | 0-2-0 |
| Alliance 4 | 6421, 6574, 1792 | eliminated | 2-2-0 |
| Alliance 5 | 167, 4230, 5586 | eliminated | 1-2-0 |
| Alliance 6 | 4239, 6758, 2491 | eliminated | 1-2-0 |
| Alliance 7 | 7021, 525, 7530 | eliminated | 3-2-0 |
| Alliance 8 | 7864, 2502, 3928 | eliminated | 0-2-0 |

## Qualification ranking

| Rank | Team | Name | Qual record | RP | xP | Pre-playoff xP | SOS |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | 5913 | Patriotics | 8-1-0 | 28 | 62.8 | 66.1 | 0.38 |
| 2 | 2052 | KnightKrawler | 8-1-0 | 26 | 75.1 | 74.5 | 0.22 |
| 3 | 5232 | Talons | 8-1-0 | 25 | 49.6 | 53.7 | 0.10 |
| 4 | 4786 | Nicolet FEAR | 7-2-0 | 23 | 52.6 | 52.7 | 0.64 |
| 5 | 6421 | WarriorBots | 8-1-0 | 23 | 46.4 | 47.8 | 0.04 |
| 6 | 167 | Children of the Corn | 8-1-0 | 22 | 43.5 | 42.1 | 0.14 |
| 7 | 4239 | WARPSPEED | 7-2-0 | 21 | 24.6 | 26.2 | 0.60 |
| 8 | 7021 | TC Robotics | 7-2-0 | 20 | 60.9 | 60.7 | 0.22 |
| 9 | 3883 | Data Bits | 8-1-0 | 20 | 45.5 | 46.8 | 0.04 |
| 10 | 2987 | Rogue Robotics | 6-3-0 | 20 | 55.5 | 55.8 | 0.14 |
| 11 | 525 | Swartdogs | 7-2-0 | 20 | 47.2 | 48.3 | 0.16 |
| 12 | 7864 | The Bear Bots | 6-3-0 | 20 | 27.3 | 31.6 | 0.51 |
| 13 | 3418 | RoboRiot | 7-2-0 | 20 | 27.2 | 27.2 | 0.03 |
| 14 | 2502 | Talon Robotics | 6-3-0 | 19 | 47.4 | 51.3 | 0.76 |
| 15 | 4230 | TopperBots | 6-3-0 | 19 | 28.6 | 27.0 | 0.01 |
| 16 | 3381 | Droid Rage | 6-3-0 | 19 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 0.01 |
| 17 | 1792 | Round Table Robotics | 7-2-0 | 18 | 36.8 | 38.6 | 0.17 |
| 18 | 5720 | Jagobotics | 6-3-0 | 18 | 14.7 | 14.7 | 0.07 |
| 19 | 4531 | STEAMpunk | 5-4-0 | 18 | 26.3 | 26.3 | 0.03 |
| 20 | 6758 | Otternauts | 5-4-0 | 17 | 33.3 | 34.1 | 0.59 |
| 21 | 2491 | NoMythic | 5-4-0 | 16 | 42.1 | 44.8 | 0.32 |
| 22 | 6132 | Iron Rangers | 6-3-0 | 16 | 21.3 | 21.3 | 0.23 |
| 23 | 3928 | Team Neutrino | 4-5-0 | 15 | 47.8 | 53.0 | 0.89 |
| 24 | 5586 | Bond Brigade | 5-4-0 | 15 | 28.9 | 26.4 | 0.27 |
| 25 | 6574 | Ferradermis | 5-4-0 | 15 | 35.0 | 37.7 | 0.57 |
| 26 | 4182 | Viking Robotics | 5-4-0 | 15 | 25.2 | 25.2 | 0.16 |
| 27 | 2472 | Centurions | 5-4-0 | 15 | 21.8 | 21.8 | 0.25 |
| 28 | 5271 | Open Circuits | 5-4-0 | 15 | 12.8 | 12.8 | 0.29 |
| 29 | 4624 | Rebel Alliance | 4-5-0 | 14 | 33.2 | 34.6 | 0.41 |
| 30 | 2129 | Ultraviolet | 4-5-0 | 14 | 30.7 | 30.7 | 0.33 |
| 31 | 5576 | Team Terminator | 3-6-0 | 13 | 37.8 | 37.8 | 0.97 |
| 32 | 2501 | Bionic Polars | 5-4-0 | 13 | 19.1 | 19.1 | 0.18 |
| 33 | 3926 | MPArors | 4-5-0 | 12 | 33.2 | 36.9 | 0.69 |
| 34 | 7530 | Raiders of the Lost Spark | 4-5-0 | 12 | 27.9 | 28.3 | 0.78 |
| 35 | 4778 | Stormbots | 3-6-0 | 12 | 21.5 | 21.5 | 0.34 |
| 36 | 4166 | Robostang | 4-5-0 | 12 | 12.9 | 12.9 | 0.87 |
| 37 | 4623 | Flyer Robotics | 4-5-0 | 12 | 17.8 | 17.8 | 0.45 |
| 38 | 5541 | Shakopee Sabers | 5-4-0 | 12 | 11.2 | 11.2 | 0.39 |
| 39 | 3023 | STARK Industries | 3-6-0 | 11 | 25.3 | 25.3 | 0.45 |
| 40 | 7273 | ZooM 7273 | 3-6-0 | 11 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0.86 |
| 41 | 3100 | The Lightning Turtles | 3-6-0 | 11 | 29.7 | 31.8 | 0.81 |
| 42 | 2667 | Knights of the Valley | 3-6-0 | 11 | 23.9 | 23.9 | 0.37 |
| 43 | 2512 | Duluth East Daredevils | 5-4-0 | 11 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 0.79 |
| 44 | 4181 | Quack Attack | 3-6-0 | 10 | 19.7 | 19.7 | 0.50 |
| 45 | 5339 | Hurricanes | 4-5-0 | 10 | 18.9 | 18.9 | 0.33 |
| 46 | 4703 | Menahga Gigabot$ | 3-6-0 | 10 | 19.4 | 19.4 | 0.74 |
| 47 | 2826 | Wave Robotics | 4-5-0 | 10 | 22.2 | 22.2 | 0.79 |
| 48 | 8803 | MechaMarines | 2-7-0 | 9 | 18.4 | 18.4 | 0.84 |
| 49 | 7578 | Quantum Mechanics | 3-6-0 | 9 | 20.1 | 20.1 | 0.84 |
| 50 | 1675 | UPS (Ultimate Protection Squad) | 2-7-0 | 7 | 22.9 | 22.9 | 0.89 |
| 51 | 6147 | Tonkabots | 2-7-0 | 7 | 12.6 | 12.6 | 0.78 |
| 52 | 4226 | Huskies | 2-7-0 | 6 | 22.7 | 22.7 | 0.87 |
| 53 | 7677 | Bodacious Bulldogs | 2-7-0 | 6 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 0.90 |
| 54 | 3212 | YME Stingbots | 2-7-0 | 6 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 0.56 |
| 55 | 3755 | Dragon Robotics | 1-8-0 | 5 | 9.2 | 9.2 | 0.92 |
| 56 | 6044 | Circuit Breakers | 1-8-0 | 5 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 0.95 |
| 57 | 3298 | ArrowBots | 1-8-0 | 3 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.97 |
| 58 | 8700 | W.I.R.E.D | 0-9-0 | 2 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 0.96 |
| 59 | 7311 | Boring Robots | 0-9-0 | 0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.97 |

## Qualification matches

| Match | Red | Blue | Score | Predicted | Red win prob | Winner |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Qual 1 | 2472, 6758, 3755 | 4230, 4531, 3928 | 107–92 | 33–51 | 25% | red |
| Qual 2 | 6574, 5720, 8700 | 2491, 3381, 5913 | 59–105 | 35–64 | 17% | blue |
| Qual 3 | 2826, 7578, 6421 | 2129, 4778, 525 | 60–47 | 58–56 | 57% | red |
| Qual 4 | 2502, 7530, 4786 | 5271, 5576, 6044 | 94–52 | 69–27 | 92% | red |
| Qual 5 | 5339, 1675, 7311 | 6147, 4182, 2501 | 19–56 | 39–44 | 48% | blue |
| Qual 6 | 3926, 7273, 4226 | 3883, 5586, 4623 | 76–97 | 50–53 | 51% | blue |
| Qual 7 | 3023, 4624, 3212 | 4239, 3298, 4703 | 52–56 | 55–41 | 72% | blue |
| Qual 8 | 167, 7677, 7021 | 1792, 2987, 5232 | 57–136 | 81–69 | 70% | blue |
| Qual 9 | 8803, 2052, 7864 | 5541, 3100, 3418 | 101–50 | 72–49 | 81% | red |
| Qual 10 | 6132, 2512, 4166 | 2667, 4181, 6758 | 68–67 | 28–58 | 16% | red |
| Qual 11 | 6574, 2491, 5271 | 4531, 2129, 1675 | 68–57 | 77–45 | 87% | red |
| Qual 12 | 2826, 5586, 5720 | 8700, 2472, 5576 | 83–60 | 47–60 | 27% | red |
| Qual 13 | 2502, 5913, 4778 | 3023, 4182, 7530 | 115–99 | 93–52 | 94% | red |
| Qual 14 | 7273, 7677, 6147 | 7578, 4624, 167 | 32–61 | 39–57 | 29% | blue |
| Qual 15 | 6421, 3928, 4239 | 8803, 4786, 3926 | 90–62 | 90–69 | 77% | red |
| Qual 16 | 6044, 4703, 4181 | 2052, 2667, 2987 | 45–119 | 44–114 | 3% | blue |
| Qual 17 | 4623, 3381, 7021 | 525, 7864, 4230 | 87–88 | 75–74 | 50% | blue |
| Qual 18 | 3298, 2512, 1792 | 3883, 3418, 2501 | 18–69 | 70–72 | 49% | blue |
| Qual 19 | 4226, 5541, 6132 | 3212, 3100, 7311 | 49–22 | 57–39 | 75% | red |
| Qual 20 | 5232, 5339, 167 | 3755, 2502, 4166 | 105–71 | 58–72 | 34% | red |
| Qual 21 | 5720, 3928, 2491 | 4624, 8803, 4778 | 85–60 | 82–56 | 82% | red |
| Qual 22 | 5271, 8700, 7578 | 3023, 3926, 4181 | 38–75 | 38–63 | 14% | blue |
| Qual 23 | 7864, 1675, 6147 | 2129, 4230, 4703 | 67–91 | 46–56 | 34% | blue |
| Qual 24 | 6758, 2987, 7273 | 525, 3298, 6574 | 120–68 | 80–66 | 71% | red |
| Qual 25 | 3212, 4182, 4623 | 3100, 2472, 7530 | 26–60 | 56–59 | 45% | blue |
| Qual 26 | 4239, 5541, 2512 | 3755, 7677, 5586 | 57–32 | 43–47 | 42% | red |
| Qual 27 | 3883, 6132, 3381 | 6044, 5339, 2826 | 91–38 | 66–48 | 75% | red |
| Qual 28 | 2501, 2667, 4226 | 6421, 5232, 4531 | 29–111 | 49–89 | 6% | blue |
| Qual 29 | 7311, 1792, 2052 | 4166, 5913, 4786 | 94–107 | 80–88 | 37% | blue |
| Qual 30 | 5576, 3418, 4624 | 7021, 2129, 3926 | 75–118 | 70–87 | 23% | blue |
| Qual 31 | 4182, 167, 6758 | 7864, 3023, 8700 | 92–54 | 79–59 | 79% | red |
| Qual 32 | 2987, 4703, 5720 | 2512, 7273, 2502 | 67–89 | 86–80 | 59% | blue |
| Qual 33 | 525, 3212, 1675 | 7677, 8803, 6044 | 62–41 | 63–42 | 81% | red |
| Qual 34 | 5232, 3883, 4230 | 3928, 6574, 7578 | 114–87 | 84–69 | 72% | red |
| Qual 35 | 4181, 4166, 2501 | 5586, 4239, 7530 | 44–84 | 50–60 | 33% | blue |
| Qual 36 | 6132, 4778, 5576 | 3381, 2052, 4531 | 56–104 | 61–97 | 6% | blue |
| Qual 37 | 1792, 2826, 5913 | 4226, 6147, 3298 | 110–17 | 97–37 | 99% | red |
| Qual 38 | 4623, 3418, 2667 | 5271, 3755, 7311 | 18–10 | 53–31 | 85% | red |
| Qual 39 | 2472, 5339, 2491 | 7021, 6421, 5541 | 64–80 | 70–99 | 10% | blue |
| Qual 40 | 4786, 3883, 4624 | 1675, 2502, 3100 | 107–76 | 85–76 | 65% | red |
| Qual 41 | 2512, 3928, 4181 | 7273, 3212, 7864 | 85–33 | 76–54 | 84% | red |
| Qual 42 | 4166, 7578, 3381 | 8803, 4531, 2987 | 40–92 | 45–87 | 6% | blue |
| Qual 43 | 6044, 2501, 2129 | 5913, 5720, 6758 | 48–102 | 46–100 | 3% | blue |
| Qual 44 | 3418, 6132, 5232 | 4239, 8700, 6147 | 89–51 | 76–39 | 90% | red |
| Qual 45 | 4778, 6574, 2667 | 5586, 7021, 5339 | 63–111 | 48–84 | 11% | blue |
| Qual 46 | 3100, 6421, 4230 | 5576, 7311, 3298 | 105–34 | 91–33 | 97% | red |
| Qual 47 | 2052, 5271, 3023 | 2472, 4226, 7677 | 99–26 | 97–44 | 97% | red |
| Qual 48 | 3926, 525, 1792 | 7530, 3755, 2491 | 98–63 | 91–66 | 84% | red |
| Qual 49 | 4182, 4703, 2826 | 4623, 167, 5541 | 48–60 | 63–56 | 59% | blue |
| Qual 50 | 4786, 6758, 3418 | 5913, 7578, 7273 | 119–103 | 81–85 | 37% | red |
| Qual 51 | 4531, 4166, 3212 | 7021, 5720, 3883 | 44–104 | 39–110 | 1% | blue |
| Qual 52 | 3928, 2129, 3381 | 7311, 5586, 2502 | 89–76 | 88–74 | 71% | red |
| Qual 53 | 6132, 3023, 3100 | 2501, 6574, 6421 | 54–83 | 65–91 | 19% | blue |
| Qual 54 | 6147, 5576, 3755 | 4778, 2987, 2472 | 57–78 | 46–86 | 8% | blue |
| Qual 55 | 4703, 8700, 8803 | 5339, 1792, 5271 | 41–56 | 52–61 | 35% | blue |
| Qual 56 | 3298, 7530, 7677 | 2667, 2826, 7864 | 45–55 | 46–51 | 44% | blue |
| Qual 57 | 4624, 2512, 3926 | 2052, 525, 4182 | 76–107 | 68–112 | 4% | blue |
| Qual 58 | 5232, 4181, 4623 | 5541, 4786, 1675 | 72–100 | 71–68 | 55% | blue |
| Qual 59 | 167, 4239, 6044 | 4230, 4226, 2491 | 76–61 | 71–79 | 36% | red |
| Qual 60 | 7578, 3212, 3755 | 3381, 2501, 5576 | 35–82 | 33–66 | 7% | blue |
| Qual 61 | 5913, 7021, 4703 | 3928, 8803, 6132 | 103–85 | 128–77 | 98% | red |
| Qual 62 | 2667, 3100, 2129 | 1792, 3023, 7273 | 61–82 | 57–75 | 19% | blue |
| Qual 63 | 4778, 2826, 3298 | 3926, 5271, 4166 | 42–57 | 42–57 | 28% | blue |
| Qual 64 | 7530, 6147, 5541 | 6574, 4531, 2512 | 55–69 | 53–74 | 15% | blue |
| Qual 65 | 6758, 1675, 5586 | 3418, 6421, 2052 | 57–101 | 84–120 | 5% | blue |
| Qual 66 | 5720, 4786, 5339 | 4226, 525, 167 | 55–68 | 73–76 | 31% | blue |
| Qual 67 | 4624, 7864, 5232 | 7311, 6044, 2472 | 114–24 | 88–35 | 98% | red |
| Qual 68 | 4182, 4230, 2502 | 4181, 2491, 7677 | 91–56 | 95–61 | 91% | red |
| Qual 69 | 2987, 4239, 3883 | 8700, 4623, 2129 | 135–57 | 109–50 | 99% | red |
| Qual 70 | 3298, 5541, 3928 | 7578, 1792, 6132 | 47–82 | 67–69 | 46% | blue |
| Qual 71 | 5586, 6147, 2052 | 3212, 6758, 8803 | 114–51 | 97–59 | 94% | red |
| Qual 72 | 4786, 7021, 6574 | 2826, 2501, 2512 | 112–45 | 125–52 | 100% | red |
| Qual 73 | 6421, 3755, 3023 | 4166, 7864, 5720 | 66–67 | 76–50 | 87% | blue |
| Qual 74 | 7273, 3381, 5271 | 2491, 5232, 4182 | 38–115 | 49–94 | 4% | blue |
| Qual 75 | 167, 5913, 2472 | 1675, 3926, 2667 | 114–68 | 104–59 | 94% | red |
| Qual 76 | 8700, 4226, 2987 | 7530, 4230, 4624 | 93–137 | 77–83 | 42% | blue |
| Qual 77 | 3100, 6044, 4531 | 5339, 4181, 3418 | 54–68 | 57–57 | 46% | blue |
| Qual 78 | 7677, 3883, 525 | 4703, 7311, 4778 | 132–49 | 88–43 | 96% | red |
| Qual 79 | 2502, 5576, 1792 | 6758, 4623, 4239 | 98–82 | 106–77 | 88% | red |
| Qual 80 | 2491, 2052, 7021 | 3023, 3298, 7578 | 141–32 | 152–44 | 100% | red |
| Qual 81 | 3755, 8803, 4182 | 2129, 6132, 4786 | 57–96 | 44–87 | 7% | blue |
| Qual 82 | 7864, 5271, 5913 | 2987, 4624, 5586 | 115–99 | 89–103 | 27% | red |
| Qual 83 | 4230, 3926, 5339 | 5720, 5232, 3212 | 79–101 | 79–62 | 72% | blue |
| Qual 84 | 3418, 2472, 6574 | 4703, 4166, 4226 | 112–52 | 73–50 | 80% | red |
| Qual 85 | 2501, 2502, 525 | 5541, 2667, 8700 | 122–44 | 100–37 | 99% | red |
| Qual 86 | 4531, 4778, 4239 | 1675, 7273, 2826 | 67–50 | 64–59 | 48% | red |
| Qual 87 | 7677, 4623, 3100 | 6147, 6044, 3928 | 74–52 | 53–75 | 19% | red |
| Qual 88 | 4181, 7530, 3883 | 3381, 167, 6421 | 88–92 | 84–96 | 25% | blue |
| Qual 89 | 2512, 7311, 8803 | 5576, 2491, 3023 | 32–86 | 38–91 | 1% | blue |

## Playoff matches

| Match | Red | Blue | Score | Predicted | Red win prob | Winner |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SF 1 | 4624, 5913, 2052 | 2502, 3928, 7864 | 141–63 | 140–114 | 90% | red |
| SF 2-1 | 1792, 6421, 6574 | 4230, 167, 5586 | 105–108 | 104–85 | 84% | blue |
| SF 3-1 | 3926, 5232, 2987 | 7530, 7021, 525 | 135–130 | 124–117 | 61% | red |
| SF 4-1 | 3100, 4786, 3883 | 4239, 6758, 2491 | 88–97 | 106–96 | 72% | blue |
| SF 5-1 | 7864, 2502, 3928 | 6574, 6421, 1792 | 60–104 | 108–97 | 69% | blue |
| SF 6-1 | 7530, 7021, 525 | 3883, 4786, 3100 | 136–102 | 120–101 | 78% | red |
| SF 7-1 | 4624, 5913, 2052 | 4230, 167, 5586 | 128–89 | 145–84 | 99% | red |
| SF 8-1 | 3926, 5232, 2987 | 4239, 6758, 2491 | 120–78 | 127–89 | 92% | red |
| SF 9-1 | 5586, 167, 4230 | 525, 7021, 7530 | 109–136 | 79–116 | 8% | blue |
| SF 10-1 | 2491, 6758, 4239 | 6574, 6421, 1792 | 75–112 | 90–102 | 32% | blue |
| SF 11-1 | 4624, 5913, 2052 | 3926, 5232, 2987 | 134–100 | 137–120 | 75% | red |
| SF 12-1 | 1792, 6574, 6421 | 525, 7021, 7530 | 66–130 | 106–130 | 19% | blue |
| SF 13-1 | 3926, 5232, 2987 | 525, 7021, 7530 | 124–113 | 122–114 | 53% | red |
| F 1 | 4624, 5913, 2052 | 2987, 5232, 3926 | 146–103 | 123–113 | 78% | red |
| F 2 | 4624, 5913, 2052 | 2987, 5232, 3926 | 143–129 | 130–119 | 78% | red |

Predicted scores and win probabilities are this site's own. The same page for a person: [https://www.match13.com/event/2023mndu2](https://www.match13.com/event/2023mndu2).

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