# Smoky Mountains Regional (2019tnkn)

Knoxville, TN, USA · 2019-03-27 to 2019-03-30 · week 5 · 51 teams · completed

## Watch

- twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/firstinspires5
- twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/firstinspires6

## Alliances

| Alliance | Teams | Result | Playoff record |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Alliance 1 | 3490, 3959, 4462 | Eliminated in SF | 2-2-0 |
| Alliance 2 | 4329, 3489, 1758 | Eliminated in SF | 2-3-0 |
| Alliance 3 | 4020, 2386, 3966 | Finalist | 5-2-0 |
| Alliance 4 | 4265, 2614, 2556 | Champion | 6-1-0 |
| Alliance 5 | 1293, 5492, 343 | Eliminated in QF | 0-2-0 |
| Alliance 6 | 932, 6517, 3140 | Eliminated in QF | 0-2-0 |
| Alliance 7 | 7525, 2393, 5022 | Eliminated in QF | 1-2-0 |
| Alliance 8 | 4504, 3824, 1706 | Eliminated in QF | 0-2-0 |

## Qualification ranking

| Rank | Team | Name | Qual record | RP | xP | Pre-playoff xP | SOS |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | 3490 | Viper Drive | 8-1-1 | 27 | 26.7 | 26.5 | 0.46 |
| 2 | 4329 | Lutheran Roboteers | 8-1-1 | 26 | 27.9 | 26.5 | 0.08 |
| 3 | 4020 | Cyber Tribe | 8-2-0 | 25 | 30.3 | 30.5 | 0.06 |
| 4 | 4265 | Secret City Wildbots | 9-0-1 | 23 | 23.8 | 20.3 | 0.04 |
| 5 | 3959 | Mech Tech | 9-1-0 | 22 | 30.7 | 30.8 | 0.19 |
| 6 | 2386 | Trojans | 6-3-1 | 22 | 28.8 | 26.8 | 0.75 |
| 7 | 3489 | Category 5 | 8-2-0 | 19 | 22.8 | 21.2 | 0.26 |
| 8 | 1293 | Pandamaniacs | 7-3-0 | 18 | 21.4 | 20.9 | 0.05 |
| 9 | 932 | The Circuit Chargers | 6-3-1 | 17 | 21.3 | 20.8 | 0.12 |
| 10 | 7525 | Pioneers | 7-3-0 | 17 | 13.9 | 13.7 | 0.14 |
| 11 | 4504 | B. C. Robotics | 7-2-1 | 17 | 16.6 | 16.8 | 0.77 |
| 12 | 34 | Rockets | 6-4-0 | 16 | 18.8 | 18.6 | 0.03 |
| 13 | 5002 | Dragon Robotics | 6-4-0 | 16 | 17.6 | 17.6 | 0.38 |
| 14 | 6928 | Blue Armadillos | 6-3-1 | 16 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 0.47 |
| 15 | 4462 | Full Metal Jackets | 5-5-0 | 15 | 18.3 | 18.9 | 0.43 |
| 16 | 4630 | Robodragons | 6-4-0 | 15 | 14.4 | 14.4 | 0.56 |
| 17 | 1758 | Technomancers | 6-4-0 | 15 | 10.4 | 9.5 | 0.17 |
| 18 | 3966 | Gryphon Command | 6-4-0 | 14 | 18.8 | 17.9 | 0.24 |
| 19 | 3319 | Galactic Geeks Robotics | 6-4-0 | 14 | 16.8 | 16.8 | 0.05 |
| 20 | 2614 | Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS) | 5-5-0 | 14 | 22.4 | 18.7 | 0.40 |
| 21 | 4306 | Robokomodos | 5-5-0 | 14 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 0.37 |
| 22 | 3844 | Kentucky Wildbots | 5-5-0 | 14 | 15.2 | 15.2 | 0.41 |
| 23 | 6302 | Greeneville High School Robotics | 5-5-0 | 13 | 15.2 | 15.2 | 0.36 |
| 24 | 5022 | Rat Rod Robotics | 5-4-1 | 12 | 19.8 | 19.6 | 0.32 |
| 25 | 5045 | SpartaBot | 6-4-0 | 12 | 21.7 | 21.7 | 0.87 |
| 26 | 2393 | Robotichauns | 4-5-1 | 12 | 22.5 | 21.6 | 0.92 |
| 27 | 1466 | Webb Robotics | 6-4-0 | 12 | 17.9 | 17.9 | 0.78 |
| 28 | 5492 | Winner's Circle Robo Jockey's | 4-6-0 | 11 | 24.7 | 24.5 | 0.97 |
| 29 | 3824 | HVA RoHAWKtics | 5-5-0 | 11 | 21.5 | 21.5 | 0.91 |
| 30 | 2856 | Planetary Drive | 4-6-0 | 11 | 14.4 | 14.4 | 0.77 |
| 31 | 7406 | Ministry of Mechanics | 4-6-0 | 11 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 0.78 |
| 32 | 1706 | Ratchet Rockers | 4-6-0 | 10 | 18.2 | 18.8 | 0.61 |
| 33 | 343 | Metal-In-Motion | 4-6-0 | 10 | 19.7 | 19.3 | 0.87 |
| 34 | 3821 | Pirabots | 4-6-0 | 10 | 14.8 | 14.8 | 0.58 |
| 35 | 801 | Horsepower | 4-6-0 | 10 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 0.46 |
| 36 | 7516 | Louisville Centrons | 4-6-0 | 10 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 0.28 |
| 37 | 6517 | So-Kno Robo | 3-7-0 | 9 | 17.6 | 17.1 | 0.87 |
| 38 | 6846 | MAGNETUDE | 4-6-0 | 9 | 14.6 | 14.6 | 0.64 |
| 39 | 3140 | Flagship | 4-6-0 | 9 | 17.3 | 16.9 | 0.77 |
| 40 | 3984 | Topper Robotics | 3-6-1 | 9 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 0.64 |
| 41 | 1539 | Clover Eagle Robotics | 3-7-0 | 9 | 14.8 | 14.8 | 0.30 |
| 42 | 2190 | Team Hero | 3-6-1 | 9 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 0.29 |
| 43 | 3011 | RoboWarriors | 3-7-0 | 9 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.32 |
| 44 | 5744 | RoboRunners | 3-7-0 | 8 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 0.12 |
| 45 | 2556 | RadioActive Roaches | 3-7-0 | 7 | 23.9 | 19.7 | 0.97 |
| 46 | 283 | The Generals | 2-8-0 | 7 | 16.3 | 16.3 | 0.82 |
| 47 | 6219 | Cuttin' Edge Robotics | 2-7-1 | 7 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 0.54 |
| 48 | 4576 | Red Nation Robotics | 3-7-0 | 6 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 0.69 |
| 49 | 1319 | Flash | 2-8-0 | 6 | 12.2 | 12.2 | 0.78 |
| 50 | 4764 | The Memphis MechWarriors | 2-8-0 | 4 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 0.80 |
| 51 | 5186 | Cybears | 1-9-0 | 4 | 11.8 | 11.8 | 0.97 |

## Qualification matches

| Match | Red | Blue | Score | Predicted | Red win prob | Winner |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Qual 1 | 4265, 5022, 4306 | 3011, 3140, 5744 | 44–25 | 49–25 | 91% | red |
| Qual 2 | 1706, 4764, 6846 | 3319, 4020, 4630 | 48–56 | 30–50 | 6% | blue |
| Qual 3 | 4576, 283, 2393 | 6517, 3490, 3966 | 48–73 | 32–43 | 21% | blue |
| Qual 4 | 3824, 1758, 1466 | 6302, 3959, 34 | 30–66 | 41–43 | 44% | blue |
| Qual 5 | 5002, 2386, 1539 | 3489, 5045, 4504 | 40–42 | 44–35 | 74% | blue |
| Qual 6 | 2190, 1293, 3984 | 7406, 801, 2614 | 26–27 | 35–30 | 64% | blue |
| Qual 7 | 6219, 932, 343 | 7516, 3821, 5492 | 50–68 | 38–36 | 54% | blue |
| Qual 8 | 5186, 1319, 6928 | 4462, 4329, 2856 | 24–50 | 34–48 | 14% | blue |
| Qual 9 | 3824, 34, 2556 | 2393, 7525, 3844 | 37–59 | 54–41 | 74% | blue |
| Qual 10 | 3011, 6517, 7406 | 3959, 1706, 3489 | 30–70 | 32–52 | 6% | blue |
| Qual 11 | 5744, 5492, 801 | 3140, 4764, 4504 | 32–55 | 30–36 | 41% | blue |
| Qual 12 | 4020, 6928, 4462 | 3821, 1293, 3966 | 72–53 | 55–48 | 76% | red |
| Qual 13 | 2386, 6302, 7525 | 5022, 1319, 6219 | 53–40 | 55–41 | 82% | red |
| Qual 14 | 2556, 1758, 7516 | 5002, 4576, 3984 | 14–31 | 34–22 | 82% | blue |
| Qual 15 | 3319, 5045, 4265 | 932, 283, 4329 | 63–62 | 50–57 | 29% | red |
| Qual 16 | 1539, 3844, 343 | 4630, 2614, 3490 | 41–54 | 55–64 | 21% | blue |
| Qual 17 | 5186, 2856, 6846 | 2190, 4306, 1466 | 28–44 | 29–39 | 26% | blue |
| Qual 18 | 1758, 6928, 7525 | 5744, 7406, 7516 | 37–18 | 28–17 | 64% | red |
| Qual 19 | 1706, 3140, 2556 | 3959, 932, 4462 | 55–67 | 54–64 | 20% | blue |
| Qual 20 | 3984, 4504, 5022 | 2393, 4329, 6219 | 42–42 | 43–63 | 8% | tie |
| Qual 21 | 2614, 34, 5492 | 4630, 5002, 4265 | 60–62 | 53–42 | 75% | blue |
| Qual 22 | 283, 801, 3821 | 4306, 2386, 1319 | 30–55 | 32–52 | 10% | blue |
| Qual 23 | 5045, 4576, 3824 | 343, 4764, 5186 | 53–35 | 46–30 | 79% | red |
| Qual 24 | 3319, 3489, 6846 | 3844, 3966, 2856 | 63–46 | 41–42 | 43% | red |
| Qual 25 | 1293, 3011, 3490 | 6302, 1466, 1539 | 58–28 | 55–50 | 66% | red |
| Qual 26 | 7516, 2190, 6517 | 34, 4020, 3821 | 40–86 | 34–60 | 6% | blue |
| Qual 27 | 5002, 801, 4329 | 4764, 7406, 6219 | 61–18 | 45–25 | 89% | red |
| Qual 28 | 3966, 2393, 3959 | 5744, 1319, 4630 | 75–14 | 70–29 | 99% | red |
| Qual 29 | 6302, 5186, 283 | 5492, 2556, 4504 | 39–64 | 35–54 | 11% | blue |
| Qual 30 | 4265, 932, 3490 | 2190, 6928, 2386 | 65–65 | 72–53 | 86% | tie |
| Qual 31 | 3844, 4306, 1706 | 5045, 1758, 1293 | 43–48 | 52–45 | 60% | blue |
| Qual 32 | 6517, 3984, 1539 | 6846, 343, 3140 | 50–66 | 38–46 | 32% | blue |
| Qual 33 | 4020, 2614, 3011 | 2856, 7525, 3824 | 52–54 | 63–46 | 87% | blue |
| Qual 34 | 3319, 4462, 1466 | 5022, 4576, 3489 | 70–55 | 46–40 | 66% | red |
| Qual 35 | 4306, 7516, 4764 | 2556, 6302, 3844 | 27–42 | 33–48 | 16% | blue |
| Qual 36 | 34, 3490, 5744 | 7406, 5186, 1706 | 52–31 | 45–36 | 78% | red |
| Qual 37 | 1293, 343, 4329 | 6846, 5002, 3011 | 55–44 | 66–35 | 97% | red |
| Qual 38 | 1466, 6517, 1319 | 932, 4504, 3319 | 45–58 | 48–50 | 31% | blue |
| Qual 39 | 5045, 6219, 5492 | 3824, 3966, 6928 | 55–58 | 47–55 | 36% | blue |
| Qual 40 | 4576, 3959, 7525 | 1539, 2190, 801 | 59–38 | 46–33 | 83% | red |
| Qual 41 | 1758, 4630, 3489 | 5022, 4020, 283 | 54–48 | 28–59 | 3% | red |
| Qual 42 | 3984, 2393, 2856 | 4462, 4265, 2386 | 26–74 | 39–67 | 8% | blue |
| Qual 43 | 3821, 3490, 3140 | 2614, 5002, 3319 | 53–44 | 55–50 | 69% | red |
| Qual 44 | 7406, 3966, 2190 | 4504, 3844, 3011 | 34–38 | 41–42 | 52% | blue |
| Qual 45 | 6846, 3824, 5022 | 801, 2556, 6928 | 63–42 | 56–41 | 84% | red |
| Qual 46 | 6219, 4630, 4576 | 2386, 1293, 5744 | 24–61 | 30–57 | 4% | blue |
| Qual 47 | 1706, 283, 4462 | 1466, 7516, 2614 | 44–51 | 49–45 | 59% | blue |
| Qual 48 | 4764, 7525, 1319 | 343, 4265, 1758 | 21–52 | 34–49 | 16% | blue |
| Qual 49 | 4020, 6302, 3489 | 3140, 2393, 932 | 82–54 | 62–60 | 57% | red |
| Qual 50 | 1539, 3821, 5045 | 34, 5186, 3984 | 52–49 | 48–34 | 81% | red |
| Qual 51 | 5492, 2856, 4306 | 4329, 6517, 3959 | 57–59 | 45–73 | 3% | blue |
| Qual 52 | 4504, 5744, 3824 | 7516, 6846, 3490 | 43–58 | 46–51 | 32% | blue |
| Qual 53 | 4265, 3844, 4020 | 6219, 4462, 801 | 68–30 | 72–33 | 99% | red |
| Qual 54 | 2614, 3489, 2386 | 5186, 2556, 5045 | 67–53 | 70–43 | 95% | red |
| Qual 55 | 7406, 4306, 2393 | 5492, 1539, 3319 | 50–46 | 47–55 | 28% | red |
| Qual 56 | 1319, 3011, 6302 | 6928, 4630, 3984 | 36–50 | 38–33 | 49% | blue |
| Qual 57 | 3966, 1466, 3140 | 343, 3821, 7525 | 54–49 | 54–43 | 75% | red |
| Qual 58 | 34, 1293, 283 | 3959, 2856, 4764 | 49–41 | 49–52 | 44% | red |
| Qual 59 | 4329, 5022, 2190 | 5002, 1706, 6517 | 81–57 | 55–47 | 76% | red |
| Qual 60 | 932, 4630, 3011 | 1758, 4576, 5186 | 44–18 | 43–27 | 86% | red |
| Qual 61 | 4265, 5492, 7406 | 1466, 2386, 6846 | 61–39 | 52–62 | 24% | red |
| Qual 62 | 3959, 343, 7516 | 1293, 3319, 2393 | 68–64 | 53–51 | 57% | red |
| Qual 63 | 2556, 6219, 2856 | 3490, 1539, 1706 | 47–56 | 38–58 | 10% | blue |
| Qual 64 | 4329, 4504, 1758 | 2614, 3824, 3821 | 50–46 | 49–59 | 35% | red |
| Qual 65 | 4462, 5744, 6517 | 801, 5045, 6302 | 45–56 | 39–44 | 48% | blue |
| Qual 66 | 3984, 3966, 932 | 4764, 34, 5022 | 63–52 | 49–46 | 67% | red |
| Qual 67 | 7525, 4020, 5002 | 6928, 283, 4306 | 70–50 | 61–46 | 91% | red |
| Qual 68 | 3844, 3489, 2190 | 1319, 3140, 4576 | 58–32 | 49–42 | 79% | red |
| Qual 69 | 2856, 1466, 801 | 2393, 7516, 5045 | 58–55 | 39–50 | 17% | red |
| Qual 70 | 2386, 6219, 34 | 3011, 3319, 343 | 70–48 | 57–48 | 81% | red |
| Qual 71 | 5186, 3959, 5002 | 3966, 6846, 6302 | 71–38 | 60–51 | 78% | red |
| Qual 72 | 3490, 3984, 1758 | 3489, 5492, 1293 | 41–81 | 48–61 | 17% | blue |
| Qual 73 | 1319, 4329, 4020 | 1539, 5744, 2556 | 80–41 | 74–40 | 98% | red |
| Qual 74 | 4630, 4462, 7406 | 4306, 3824, 932 | 37–55 | 38–64 | 7% | blue |
| Qual 75 | 4504, 3821, 4576 | 7525, 1706, 4265 | 46–49 | 37–59 | 8% | blue |
| Qual 76 | 4764, 3844, 2614 | 6928, 5022, 6517 | 37–57 | 47–50 | 40% | blue |
| Qual 77 | 3140, 2190, 5186 | 283, 6219, 1758 | 33–40 | 44–35 | 82% | blue |
| Qual 78 | 801, 7516, 2386 | 4329, 1539, 3966 | 52–57 | 53–60 | 29% | blue |
| Qual 79 | 4576, 343, 6302 | 2856, 7406, 4020 | 41–61 | 43–53 | 20% | blue |
| Qual 80 | 1466, 4265, 1293 | 6517, 3824, 4630 | 56–54 | 58–53 | 68% | red |
| Qual 81 | 932, 5744, 5002 | 283, 3984, 3844 | 56–51 | 45–43 | 62% | red |
| Qual 82 | 5022, 2614, 1706 | 5492, 6846, 1319 | 62–49 | 57–45 | 75% | red |
| Qual 83 | 2393, 2556, 4764 | 3821, 3011, 2190 | 57–40 | 52–37 | 84% | red |
| Qual 84 | 3490, 3319, 3959 | 7525, 5045, 4462 | 82–51 | 70–52 | 90% | red |
| Qual 85 | 6928, 4504, 34 | 3489, 3140, 4306 | 61–47 | 48–56 | 32% | red |

## Playoff matches

| Match | Red | Blue | Score | Predicted | Red win prob | Winner |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SF 1 | 3959, 3490, 4462 | 3824, 4504, 1706 | 69–50 | 73–63 | 81% | red |
| SF 2-1 | 2614, 4265, 2556 | 5492, 1293, 343 | 76–55 | 59–53 | 50% | red |
| SF 3-1 | 3489, 4329, 1758 | 2393, 7525, 5022 | 73–58 | 60–57 | 65% | red |
| SF 4-1 | 2386, 4020, 3966 | 6517, 932, 3140 | 91–63 | 76–55 | 92% | red |
| SF 2 | 3959, 3490, 4462 | 3824, 4504, 1706 | 61–53 | 70–59 | 82% | red |
| SF 2-2 | 2614, 4265, 2556 | 5492, 1293, 343 | 95–78 | 66–59 | 60% | red |
| SF 3-2 | 3489, 4329, 1758 | 2393, 7525, 5022 | 60–61 | 63–58 | 69% | blue |
| SF 4-2 | 2386, 4020, 3966 | 6517, 932, 3140 | 77–58 | 80–57 | 94% | red |
| SF 3-3 | 3489, 4329, 1758 | 2393, 7525, 5022 | 64–52 | 61–56 | 68% | red |
| SF 1 | 3959, 3490, 4462 | 2614, 4265, 2556 | 76–90 | 71–68 | 67% | blue |
| SF 2-1 | 3489, 4329, 1758 | 2386, 4020, 3966 | 74–88 | 62–79 | 16% | blue |
| SF 2 | 3959, 3490, 34 | 2614, 4265, 2556 | 76–95 | 67–67 | 61% | blue |
| SF 2-2 | 3489, 4329, 1758 | 2386, 4020, 3966 | 62–86 | 66–85 | 16% | blue |
| F 1 | 2614, 4265, 2556 | 2386, 4020, 3966 | 44–74 | 70–79 | 31% | blue |
| F 2 | 2614, 4265, 2556 | 2386, 4020, 3966 | 88–74 | 70–81 | 26% | red |
| F 3 | 2614, 4265, 2556 | 2386, 4020, 3966 | 90–83 | 76–85 | 34% | red |

Predicted scores and win probabilities are this site's own. The same page for a person: [https://www.match13.com/event/2019tnkn](https://www.match13.com/event/2019tnkn).

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