# Smoky Mountains Regional (2016tnkn)

Knoxville, TN, USA · 2016-03-30 to 2016-04-02 · week 6 · 49 teams · completed

## Watch

- twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/team1912combustion
- twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/kayhemoth

## Alliances

| Alliance | Teams | Result | Playoff record |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Alliance 1 | 2614, 1986, 4264 | Finalist | 4-2-0 |
| Alliance 2 | 3824, 2481, 4740 | Champion | 6-0-0 |
| Alliance 3 | 3937, 1710, 4576 | Eliminated in QF | 0-2-0 |
| Alliance 4 | 3959, 3844, 4020 | Eliminated in SF | 2-2-0 |
| Alliance 5 | 1466, 2393, 283 | Eliminated in QF | 0-2-0 |
| Alliance 6 | 4265, 4462, 3489 | Eliminated in SF | 2-2-0 |
| Alliance 7 | 3140, 1785, 6105 | Eliminated in QF | 0-2-0 |
| Alliance 8 | 4050, 281, 1912 | Eliminated in QF | 0-2-0 |

## Qualification ranking

| Rank | Team | Name | Qual record | RP | xP | Pre-playoff xP | SOS |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | 2614 | Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS) | 10-0-0 | 32 | 48.8 | 45.8 | 0.14 |
| 2 | 1986 | Team Titanium | 9-1-0 | 31 | 63.1 | 60.5 | 0.15 |
| 3 | 3824 | HVA RoHAWKtics | 8-2-0 | 30 | 57.5 | 50.5 | 0.16 |
| 4 | 2481 | Roboteers | 9-1-0 | 28 | 66.1 | 58.9 | 0.40 |
| 5 | 3937 | Breakaway | 7-3-0 | 27 | 48.5 | 50.5 | 0.60 |
| 6 | 3959 | Mech Tech | 6-4-0 | 25 | 43.4 | 39.6 | 0.12 |
| 7 | 3844 | Kentucky Wildbots | 6-4-0 | 25 | 39.6 | 35.5 | 0.44 |
| 8 | 1466 | Webb Robotics | 7-3-0 | 24 | 35.3 | 33.8 | 0.09 |
| 9 | 4265 | Secret City Wildbots | 5-5-0 | 24 | 41.1 | 36.2 | 0.64 |
| 10 | 4462 | Full Metal Jackets | 6-4-0 | 24 | 40.6 | 36.3 | 0.30 |
| 11 | 3140 | Flagship | 6-4-0 | 24 | 32.9 | 30.9 | 0.19 |
| 12 | 2393 | Robotichauns | 7-3-0 | 24 | 44.2 | 42.1 | 0.92 |
| 13 | 4050 | Biohazard | 5-5-0 | 23 | 40.7 | 41.0 | 0.63 |
| 14 | 2856 | Planetary Drive | 6-4-0 | 23 | 26.2 | 26.2 | 0.22 |
| 15 | 4020 | Cyber Tribe | 6-4-0 | 22 | 39.0 | 35.1 | 0.37 |
| 16 | 5022 | Rat Rod Robotics | 6-4-0 | 22 | 28.9 | 28.9 | 0.27 |
| 17 | 4504 | B. C. Robotics | 6-4-0 | 22 | 28.2 | 28.2 | 0.24 |
| 18 | 1785 | Blue Springs Robocats | 6-4-0 | 21 | 41.3 | 38.4 | 0.52 |
| 19 | 4264 | The Fellowship of the Springs | 5-5-0 | 21 | 30.3 | 28.8 | 0.66 |
| 20 | 4630 | Robodragons | 6-4-0 | 21 | 25.9 | 25.9 | 0.33 |
| 21 | 281 | The GreenVillains | 5-5-0 | 21 | 31.8 | 32.0 | 0.63 |
| 22 | 4533 | Phoenix | 5-5-0 | 21 | 30.6 | 30.6 | 0.48 |
| 23 | 4306 | Robokomodos | 5-5-0 | 20 | 23.6 | 23.6 | 0.50 |
| 24 | 1710 | The Ravonics Revolution | 3-7-0 | 20 | 29.0 | 30.0 | 0.53 |
| 25 | 4576 | Red Nation Robotics | 5-5-0 | 20 | 26.0 | 27.4 | 0.64 |
| 26 | 2973 | Mad Rockers | 5-5-0 | 19 | 23.1 | 23.1 | 0.22 |
| 27 | 5744 | RoboRunners | 5-5-0 | 19 | 19.7 | 19.7 | 0.14 |
| 28 | 3966 | Gryphon Command | 4-6-0 | 19 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0.08 |
| 29 | 3259 | Thoroughbots | 5-5-0 | 19 | 22.8 | 22.8 | 0.60 |
| 30 | 283 | The Generals | 5-5-0 | 19 | 36.6 | 34.9 | 0.73 |
| 31 | 3984 | Topper Robotics | 5-5-0 | 18 | 23.3 | 23.3 | 0.54 |
| 32 | 5423 | HopCo  Robo | 5-5-0 | 18 | 20.2 | 20.2 | 0.11 |
| 33 | 5571 | RATCHET | 6-4-0 | 18 | 28.7 | 28.7 | 0.90 |
| 34 | 4965 | FIRE | 4-6-0 | 17 | 22.5 | 22.5 | 0.15 |
| 35 | 1912 | Team Combustion | 4-6-0 | 17 | 34.5 | 34.6 | 0.64 |
| 36 | 5186 | Cybears | 4-6-0 | 17 | 27.3 | 27.3 | 0.80 |
| 37 | 547 | Falcon Engineering And Robotics | 4-6-0 | 16 | 17.7 | 17.7 | 0.75 |
| 38 | 6219 | Cuttin' Edge Robotics | 3-7-0 | 15 | 26.1 | 26.1 | 0.67 |
| 39 | 5508 | Wolfbots | 5-5-0 | 15 | 28.8 | 28.8 | 0.70 |
| 40 | 4740 | Sparta Bots | 3-7-0 | 15 | 28.8 | 23.7 | 0.20 |
| 41 | 1319 | Flash | 3-7-0 | 15 | 23.6 | 23.6 | 0.61 |
| 42 | 5002 | Dragon Robotics | 4-6-0 | 15 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 0.91 |
| 43 | 3193 | Falco Tech | 4-6-0 | 15 | 23.4 | 23.4 | 0.75 |
| 44 | 3843 | ROBO RACERS | 3-7-0 | 14 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 0.24 |
| 45 | 6105 | Firebirds with Skills | 2-8-0 | 12 | 20.9 | 18.6 | 0.37 |
| 46 | 342 | Burning Magnetos | 2-8-0 | 11 | 21.7 | 21.7 | 0.61 |
| 47 | 5005 | Boyd-Buchanan Robotics | 2-8-0 | 11 | 18.9 | 18.9 | 0.89 |
| 48 | 3489 | Category 5 | 2-8-0 | 11 | 31.6 | 27.2 | 0.99 |
| 49 | 2641 | Pittsburgh Central Catholic Robotics | 1-9-0 | 9 | 16.8 | 16.8 | 0.60 |

## Qualification matches

| Match | Red | Blue | Score | Predicted | Red win prob | Winner |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Qual 1 | 3844, 3959, 1710 | 547, 4965, 342 | 109–30 | 82–62 | 84% | red |
| Qual 2 | 2393, 1912, 4504 | 5744, 4050, 5022 | 94–80 | 84–59 | 82% | red |
| Qual 3 | 3193, 5002, 3489 | 4462, 3824, 1466 | 58–106 | 50–99 | 5% | blue |
| Qual 4 | 3984, 5186, 1319 | 3843, 283, 2641 | 60–25 | 48–52 | 43% | red |
| Qual 5 | 3966, 4576, 3140 | 2973, 4630, 4740 | 82–56 | 76–58 | 79% | red |
| Qual 6 | 2481, 2614, 5005 | 6219, 5508, 4533 | 79–66 | 111–33 | 99% | red |
| Qual 7 | 281, 1986, 4264 | 3937, 2856, 4265 | 104–77 | 95–77 | 80% | red |
| Qual 8 | 5423, 5571, 1785 | 4306, 6105, 4020 | 62–55 | 61–47 | 72% | red |
| Qual 9 | 3259, 3959, 5002 | 4050, 1912, 4740 | 99–81 | 60–73 | 29% | red |
| Qual 10 | 6219, 4462, 2614 | 2641, 1319, 2393 | 91–85 | 69–75 | 41% | red |
| Qual 11 | 547, 1466, 283 | 4576, 281, 4504 | 90–78 | 64–63 | 47% | red |
| Qual 12 | 4020, 5744, 2856 | 5005, 3844, 6105 | 71–56 | 71–61 | 65% | red |
| Qual 13 | 3984, 4264, 2973 | 1785, 4965, 2481 | 52–82 | 55–110 | 2% | blue |
| Qual 14 | 5571, 5508, 342 | 4630, 3937, 5423 | 53–79 | 58–75 | 20% | blue |
| Qual 15 | 4533, 5186, 4306 | 3489, 4265, 3843 | 70–72 | 48–52 | 41% | blue |
| Qual 16 | 5022, 3193, 3966 | 3259, 1986, 3140 | 52–88 | 57–115 | 1% | blue |
| Qual 17 | 1710, 4965, 4740 | 3824, 1319, 4020 | 69–115 | 68–94 | 14% | blue |
| Qual 18 | 2481, 3959, 5423 | 547, 5002, 5005 | 90–47 | 101–51 | 97% | red |
| Qual 19 | 4462, 4630, 3489 | 2614, 3844, 4504 | 84–95 | 65–75 | 40% | blue |
| Qual 20 | 6219, 5186, 2856 | 1912, 5022, 1785 | 63–90 | 55–78 | 14% | blue |
| Qual 21 | 3140, 2641, 4306 | 283, 3824, 1986 | 60–155 | 74–121 | 2% | blue |
| Qual 22 | 3937, 4533, 3966 | 1710, 6105, 3984 | 100–73 | 90–60 | 91% | red |
| Qual 23 | 2393, 4264, 4576 | 3193, 281, 3259 | 79–58 | 83–64 | 79% | red |
| Qual 24 | 1466, 5508, 2973 | 4050, 342, 3843 | 70–63 | 67–64 | 55% | red |
| Qual 25 | 4265, 5744, 4965 | 5571, 4740, 2481 | 62–124 | 66–94 | 12% | blue |
| Qual 26 | 4630, 2641, 1986 | 1710, 4533, 547 | 92–68 | 93–68 | 85% | red |
| Qual 27 | 3259, 1319, 1912 | 5423, 3489, 3844 | 88–61 | 74–60 | 71% | red |
| Qual 28 | 4504, 3140, 4050 | 3984, 1785, 5508 | 103–95 | 82–69 | 72% | red |
| Qual 29 | 4265, 6219, 6105 | 4576, 3959, 4462 | 82–118 | 67–95 | 10% | blue |
| Qual 30 | 2393, 4020, 5022 | 4264, 3937, 4306 | 123–104 | 90–85 | 59% | red |
| Qual 31 | 2614, 5002, 3824 | 5005, 5571, 3843 | 129–57 | 99–50 | 99% | red |
| Qual 32 | 283, 2856, 3193 | 3966, 2973, 5744 | 88–50 | 65–63 | 55% | red |
| Qual 33 | 1466, 5186, 1986 | 281, 342, 5423 | 120–71 | 104–62 | 97% | red |
| Qual 34 | 2641, 3984, 3489 | 5508, 3959, 5022 | 54–109 | 67–83 | 20% | blue |
| Qual 35 | 4576, 3259, 1785 | 4965, 3937, 2614 | 92–122 | 76–98 | 25% | blue |
| Qual 36 | 4533, 2856, 4462 | 4740, 4020, 3140 | 90–84 | 58–77 | 24% | red |
| Qual 37 | 4265, 342, 1319 | 3193, 2393, 547 | 77–96 | 57–70 | 31% | blue |
| Qual 38 | 4306, 4504, 3843 | 3966, 2481, 1710 | 62–126 | 34–86 | 3% | blue |
| Qual 39 | 6219, 4050, 4264 | 5002, 5186, 5571 | 93–54 | 75–64 | 67% | red |
| Qual 40 | 1912, 4630, 6105 | 3824, 2973, 281 | 78–100 | 65–99 | 6% | blue |
| Qual 41 | 5744, 283, 5005 | 3844, 1466, 4265 | 42–100 | 65–83 | 17% | blue |
| Qual 42 | 4020, 3843, 3259 | 4504, 2856, 3959 | 44–98 | 64–84 | 18% | blue |
| Qual 43 | 4462, 4050, 3966 | 2481, 547, 4264 | 102–116 | 89–89 | 46% | blue |
| Qual 44 | 2973, 6219, 2393 | 5423, 3824, 3984 | 85–105 | 82–85 | 42% | blue |
| Qual 45 | 283, 4965, 5022 | 5002, 342, 4630 | 81–87 | 72–55 | 78% | blue |
| Qual 46 | 1710, 281, 5186 | 2614, 5508, 5744 | 81–97 | 72–78 | 37% | blue |
| Qual 47 | 6105, 3937, 1986 | 3140, 3489, 1319 | 119–72 | 119–80 | 96% | red |
| Qual 48 | 4740, 4533, 3844 | 4306, 1466, 1785 | 75–80 | 69–87 | 18% | blue |
| Qual 49 | 3193, 4576, 5571 | 5005, 2641, 1912 | 72–51 | 72–65 | 61% | red |
| Qual 50 | 283, 2973, 5423 | 5022, 4462, 1710 | 67–92 | 64–87 | 14% | blue |
| Qual 51 | 342, 3824, 6105 | 4050, 3259, 4265 | 82–112 | 88–83 | 61% | blue |
| Qual 52 | 3966, 3489, 1466 | 4965, 6219, 281 | 65–73 | 76–71 | 58% | blue |
| Qual 53 | 1986, 1912, 547 | 2614, 4020, 3984 | 107–109 | 105–97 | 66% | blue |
| Qual 54 | 5002, 5508, 1319 | 2856, 4306, 4576 | 54–86 | 79–70 | 64% | blue |
| Qual 55 | 2481, 4630, 5744 | 4264, 2641, 3959 | 101–88 | 98–87 | 71% | red |
| Qual 56 | 3844, 1785, 3843 | 5571, 2393, 3140 | 93–95 | 77–97 | 18% | blue |
| Qual 57 | 5005, 4740, 3193 | 4504, 3937, 5186 | 58–130 | 61–93 | 5% | blue |
| Qual 58 | 4533, 3824, 4965 | 281, 2856, 4050 | 124–93 | 93–89 | 58% | red |
| Qual 59 | 4265, 3984, 1912 | 1466, 1710, 4630 | 99–80 | 87–82 | 60% | red |
| Qual 60 | 1785, 342, 4020 | 3966, 2641, 5002 | 107–59 | 85–59 | 90% | red |
| Qual 61 | 5508, 547, 3489 | 4740, 2393, 283 | 72–97 | 61–94 | 7% | blue |
| Qual 62 | 2973, 5022, 5571 | 1319, 4533, 3959 | 91–77 | 64–91 | 11% | red |
| Qual 63 | 3193, 3844, 3937 | 2481, 6219, 3843 | 122–107 | 93–90 | 57% | red |
| Qual 64 | 3259, 5186, 5005 | 4462, 1986, 4306 | 67–108 | 49–109 | 1% | blue |
| Qual 65 | 3140, 6105, 2614 | 4264, 4504, 5423 | 96–86 | 93–63 | 92% | red |
| Qual 66 | 5744, 1785, 3824 | 4576, 5022, 547 | 97–82 | 102–72 | 92% | red |
| Qual 67 | 3937, 4740, 2641 | 4050, 3844, 2973 | 92–101 | 88–90 | 49% | blue |
| Qual 68 | 4630, 4306, 281 | 6219, 4020, 3193 | 86–77 | 72–79 | 35% | red |
| Qual 69 | 2481, 5002, 1466 | 5186, 6105, 2393 | 149–85 | 105–77 | 91% | red |
| Qual 70 | 4265, 3140, 3959 | 3966, 283, 2614 | 104–117 | 99–97 | 56% | blue |
| Qual 71 | 342, 4462, 3984 | 2856, 5571, 3489 | 74–85 | 83–78 | 60% | blue |
| Qual 72 | 1986, 5508, 3843 | 4965, 1912, 4264 | 107–80 | 101–79 | 85% | red |
| Qual 73 | 5423, 4576, 1319 | 5744, 4504, 4533 | 49–88 | 79–70 | 68% | blue |
| Qual 74 | 5005, 1710, 1785 | 3259, 2393, 4630 | 90–99 | 81–85 | 40% | blue |
| Qual 75 | 2614, 5022, 4740 | 6105, 1466, 3193 | 103–86 | 96–70 | 90% | red |
| Qual 76 | 3966, 3959, 3824 | 5186, 5508, 3844 | 90–97 | 109–67 | 97% | blue |
| Qual 77 | 4020, 2481, 4050 | 283, 4576, 3489 | 126–104 | 122–80 | 97% | red |
| Qual 78 | 5423, 4306, 547 | 2641, 2856, 4965 | 80–74 | 56–66 | 31% | red |
| Qual 79 | 4264, 4533, 5005 | 1912, 1710, 342 | 103–84 | 67–85 | 16% | red |
| Qual 80 | 3843, 3984, 3937 | 4462, 3259, 5744 | 80–77 | 91–73 | 80% | red |
| Qual 81 | 6219, 5002, 4504 | 2973, 1986, 4265 | 80–125 | 64–104 | 3% | blue |
| Qual 82 | 3140, 281, 2481 | 1319, 5571, 547 | 115–70 | 112–64 | 98% | red |

## Playoff matches

| Match | Red | Blue | Score | Predicted | Red win prob | Winner |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SF 1 | 1986, 2614, 4264 | 281, 4050, 1912 | 177–109 | 150–121 | 91% | red |
| SF 2-1 | 3844, 3959, 4020 | 2393, 1466, 283 | 161–140 | 125–127 | 47% | red |
| SF 3-1 | 2481, 3824, 4740 | 1785, 3140, 6105 | 134–124 | 143–101 | 96% | red |
| SF 4-1 | 1710, 3937, 4576 | 4462, 4265, 3489 | 59–104 | 126–112 | 74% | blue |
| SF 2 | 1986, 2614, 4264 | 281, 4050, 1912 | 132–99 | 152–116 | 92% | red |
| SF 2-2 | 3844, 3959, 4020 | 2393, 1466, 283 | 174–130 | 124–124 | 50% | red |
| SF 3-2 | 2481, 3824, 4740 | 1785, 3140, 6105 | 177–112 | 138–101 | 92% | red |
| SF 4-2 | 1710, 3937, 4576 | 4462, 4265, 3489 | 104–109 | 124–115 | 63% | blue |
| SF 1 | 1986, 2614, 4264 | 3844, 3959, 4020 | 160–110 | 149–133 | 74% | red |
| SF 2-1 | 2481, 3824, 4740 | 4462, 4265, 3489 | 155–138 | 138–107 | 89% | red |
| SF 2 | 1986, 2614, 4264 | 3844, 3959, 4020 | 175–117 | 146–130 | 75% | red |
| SF 2-2 | 2481, 3824, 4740 | 4462, 4265, 3489 | 185–160 | 144–116 | 86% | red |
| F 1 | 1986, 2614, 4264 | 2481, 3824, 4740 | 145–210 | 142–135 | 59% | blue |
| F 2 | 1986, 2614, 4264 | 2481, 3824, 4740 | 150–185 | 146–146 | 49% | blue |

Predicted scores and win probabilities are this site's own. The same page for a person: [https://www.match13.com/event/2016tnkn](https://www.match13.com/event/2016tnkn).

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